Let’s NOT go down the rabbit hole of how to DEFINE TRUTH, what IS TRUTH, etc,
Let’s try to practically unpack the problem of truth
Practically would entail utility, practical usefulness
We could thus define truth as THAT WHICH WORKS
This is good for start
Enough to get us amazing tech
Enough to build a business
It’s even deeper than meets the eye
The world is probabilistic, NOT absolute
The probabilities are tested, and derived, by trial and error
By PRACTICALITY itself
Success of prediction is proven by the successes of implementation
And vice versa — successful implementation inform future successful predictions
This is not enough however
Just like fucking tinkering with some rocks is not enough to get advanced tech
Behind the chaotic reality of the “real” world, unpredictable and messy and intangible — there are IDEAS
IDEAS which we define precisely
And thus we can manipulate them precisely
And make them interact one with another, precisely
And thus create more ideas
Is that truth?
The world of ideas is perfectly defined, perfectly coherent, perfectly logical
It’s not untrue — in that it’s not logically wrong. By definition
It’s not necessarily true either — unless we make some fucking use of it
It’s perfectly logically feasible that SANTA CLAUS exists. There’s no physical reason to preclude him from existing
Alas no one had actually seen the man. Neither the boogieman
It’s simply NOT a useful idea, not beyond waiting for gifts on christmas, as a kid
In real world a more useful idea is to be an entrepreneur
We get a REALLY powerful approximation of TRUTH when we combine both:
–OBSERVATION and EXPERIMENTS in the REAL WORLD
-and good logical MODELS, good IDEAS, good THEORIES, which account for those observations
This is basically science
You’ll do very well if you approach EVERYTHING this way
TON of experiments, and GOOD IDEAS
That will do
The problem doesn’t end here however
…It ends here for most people, I grant you that
Most people have poor DATA
They cherry-pick the data
They conveniently ignore conflicting data
And then even if they do have correct data — they make bad ideas out of them
Incongruent, dumb, poorly thought-out systems
That’s most folk
You can blame their uneducation and unintelligence
As well as biases, which is essentially craziness (stupidity is a form of craziness, and vice versa)
But it doesn’t end there
Usually it’s the ideological, the philosophical and theoretical and NERDY type — that will abandon the practical, and ultimately become corrupted by their sweet utopias,
They are more susceptible to become those ivory tower lunatics, starving themselves to death our of fear of some alien food conspiracy
The PRACTICAL, if supplemented by INTELLIGENCE, EDUCATION, GOOD MODELS and GOOD THEORIES — typically drastically accelerate their success, and sharpen clarity of their perceptions
There’s no conflict of interest — because REAL world verifies
Typically
See there’s one more advantage of ideas
It’s when we move back again to a realm less tangible,
Less experimentally palpable
Is INDEED when we start concerning ourselves with philosophy
And indeed most philosophy is not worth the paper on which it’s written (or hard drive space)
But there are relevant real world problems which we’ll nevertheless bound to explore MOSTLY in theory
What are those problems?
-Organisation of society
-Of course MORALITY
-What is really going on in our heads
-Indeed how this society works as a whole
-And how the fuck does economy even work, and what to do with it
-etc
And again, this is not an apology for useless sociologists and philosophers and priests and “thinkers” and what-not
Mostly useless indeed,
Mostly waste of time indeed,
EXCEPT till we arrive at one of those points where no amount of “TINKERING” in the REAL world gets us any further,
We’re making no progress there
The best we can hope for is a GOOD IDEA
And that GOOD IDEA kind of neither fits the “REAL WORLD” — as it will be difficult to conclusively prove it
e.g. once you organise society one way — there’s still question if SOME OTHER WAY wouldn’t be better. etc.
NOR does it fit the world of “IDEAS” — as it’s not part of a well-defined and rigid system. There’s ton of ambiguity in it
e.g. is capitalism selfish acquisition of capital, or is socialism selfish confiscation of capital. go down the fucking rabbit hole
This is the final level of PRACTICAL truth-pursuing, here described
Again: most likely what you and I need is just EDUCATE OURSELVES, THINK BETTER AND DEEPER, and HEAL ourselves from BIASES
But the final level matters, if truth matters
And it’s indeed the level of infinite confusion
Because indeed here you can neither “prove in real world” that you’re right (not even in probabilistic terms) — NOR can conclusively prove LOGICALLY that you’re right
This is where even the greatest minds collapse
Indeed this is the realm of bullshitters
Of course the purpose of bullshitting is to bullshit others. And others are typically average folk, therefore uneducated idiots.
Therefore bullshit can be untangled on lower levels: with facts and logic indeed
However, just a small element of moral and philosophical ambiguity, compared with overabundance of information, of data, is enough to bullshit extremely proficiently
EVEN on more intelligent levels
That’s why the greatest minds will collapse here
Because it’s the level where they CAN’T BE INVALIDATED
Therefore it’s just a matter of incentive now
Which takes us to the final point,
TRUTH is often but a matter of INCENTIVE
NOT a matter of it’s absolute probability or consistency
Sometimes the “TRUE” is merely that which sounds true
BECAUSE it has a GOOD FUCKING REASON to make it sound true
This is the realm of sociopaths
This is the realm of priests
This is the real of politicians
This is the realm of mass delusions
Of course the above can exist without adhering to any facts or logical consistencies
But they truly thrive when it’s impossible to prove them wrong
What is the conclusion?
The general conclusion of most “TRUTH-problems” is to just abandon all the desire to acquire truth, if it can’t be had,
and JUST DO WELL IN LIFE, indeed
And just DO YOUR BEST, indeed
Indeed TRUTH valued for it’s practicality is very healthy
And then building necessary systems to support that truth
And indeed sharpening one’s mind on some actual good IDEAS. That is healthy,
But mooring them to the practicality of real life,
And with that — you can gleefully FORGET about STUPID fucking debates, FALSE fucking CRUSADES,
forget the politics,
forget the fucking conspiracies, obviously,
forget everything that’s not USEFUL
That is not a horrible mindset to have
That is a sage to me: someone who never marred himself with delusion
Why not just avoid subjects PRONE to DELUDE YOU, and for no good fucking reason
It’s wise, and life is short
But
if you DO find yourself in the murky BUSINESS of obsessing over TENUOUS, DIFFICULT TRUTHS,
(or god forbid in a realm of relative truths, which is basically a realm of lies, or a fantasy realm)
Then at least realise that,
You’re no great fucking thinker,
Your opinion is not so important
And if neither LOGIC nor FACTS can convince you here — then the only factor will actually be what INCENTIVES YOU
Whether it’s your religious religion or political religion or personal religion and personal foibles
The further we get away from LOGICALLY CLEAR or EVIDENTIALLY CONCLUSIVE — the more we venture into the REALM OF INCENTIVES
…and honestly, since most men are idiots and philistines — even conclusive and simple subjects will but be a matter of confused, muddled, motley individual and societal and political incentives
Therefore,
verily,
there’s your truth
there’s some “truth” that the world agrees on (including you),
and then the rest is perhaps an approximation of truth,
but actually it’s just a reflection of the incentives system, distorting the reality in whatever direction
distorting for it cannot be rectified anyway, because NOT EVERYTHING CAN YET BE KNOWN
Therefore take good care of your truth
Learn what you can from the actual truth we agreed on, yet
Shut the fuck up if you don’t have a clue
Ignore the noise, which is 99% of what the world is telling you
And if you engage — remember you’re engaging an incentive, not an actual truth-pursuing argument
And don’t let it corrupt you