Someone’s BEST can be result of many random factors:

–LUCK

-rare FLASH of brilliance

-temporary MOTIVATION

-even strategic effort to impress, get a job, etc

 

Someone’s worst is far less volatile:

-it at very least speaks of someone’s MINIMUM STANDARD

-it’s the BEST for predicting the future — as it gives a RELIABLE BASELINE

-the WORST is likely to be improved.

 

One’s BEST is not only unlikely — but often outright impossible, BY DEFINITION, to IMPROVE

It requires assumption that people CAN improve, fundamentally. Which is in practice quite a tall order.

However making someone attempt to do their best, vs their average — is a more reasonable goal

 

Indeed,

With people PESSIMISM BIAS is preferable

LIFE teaches so

as you watch people WASTE their lives, give up on their dreams, and ultimately, stop even trying.

DATING teaches so

Get someone whose already a great fit. Don’t try to fit what doesn’t fit

But best of all it’s shown in BUSINESS

Business is when you literally CAN’T NOT admit this truth — not without going BANKRUPT

You can’t pretend someone performs better than they do, or base your business on unrealistic hopes

 

People are extremely hard to change

Best display pessimism bias with people

Best take them if their worst is good enough

Then but try to have them perform at their best

 

The room for optimism is where there’s a realistic possibility of gain, and that gain is potentially tremendous

You really only have to get lucky so many times in life. Get very lucky once, and you might have solved a lifetime problem

You want optimism bias so that you give yourself more chances of getting lucky

People, however, rarely ever change

And when they do, it’s rarely ever so dramatic

And if it’s so dramatic — it’s rarely you who benefit from it