Good theory is like an edifice Good theory is an edifice Bad theory is a juvenile fantasy It’s mashing lego bricks together It’s doodling a tower with crayons It’s a castle made of sand It’s a house of cards Good theory is a structure that doesn’t collapse How does a theory collapse? …
Tag: Intelligence
AI is Intelligent AND Makes Us Super-Intelligent
AI is of course intelligence — “artificial” intelligence It’s not human intelligence yet, of course It exceeds us at some domains — and is utterly helpless in others (it exceeds either when: -there are clear rules — it can then “play with itself” and figure out optimal strategy (e.g. chess) -or when there’s mountains …
Always Remember How Stupidity And Evil Are One
Stupidity and evil are one and the same At worst, our system is stupid, flawed — therefore it fails to prevent evil But otherwise we, as individuals, harm others and ourselves and this world — out of ignorance We could have made this place more wonderful for ourselves and others, but we’re too stupid …
Degrees of Probability (Knowledge), Degrees of Stupidity
That which is wrong has to be proven wrong in but a single way And that which is right — has to NOT be proven wrong…. and hopefully after being subjected to a lot of testing So is there more WRONGS or RIGHTS, in this world? Ultimately, there’s just extremely lot of very improbable, and …
What Is A NEW Perspective, Actually?
What is a NEW perspective? New perspective is one of the two things: Someone looking further, or deeper, or broader Or someone looking from a different angle, different perspective Looking deeper, further, broader, is a function of lens, is it not? And what are the characteristics of the lens? Maybe it can zoom …
EPISTEMIC LUCK
It’s not merely that some are smarter than others And it’s not merely that some get more lucky than others There’s also the possibility to DO SMART THINGS by chance So some people are born more fit Let’s just say more smart, not merely in theory but in practice That in and of itself …
The FAKE Prophets
“A broken clock is right twice a day” Perhaps you’ve heard this phrase Have you heard about survivorship bias? Survivorship bias is when you come to a conclusion about the whole — drawing only on limited data which has passed certain selection process, i.e. “survived” Now it’s time to combine the BROKEN CLOCK …
From Same Obvious Principles to Divergent Outcomes; You Don’t Even Know How Wrong You Are
Consider following situation You are playing chess Both of you apply a set of principles, to find the best move Both of you essentially apply the same set of principles, e.g. you read the same books, practiced the same concepts, etc. There’s NO DISAGREEMENT there, But One of you decides that Bxf7+ is the best …
Knowledge From TESTING, Knowledge From Congruence – Epistemic Loop
For all purposes, you know something to be TRUE — if it WORKS. e.g. you know it’s true that your cart is useful — it helps you move logs It works and you TESTED it. But what do you do when you can’t test it? Well then you look for that which is already …
Complex Modern World Made Us All Incompetent Idiots
What is an idiot? Let’s define an idiot as following generalisation: -someone not only incompetent -but practically unlikely to achieve competence -thus not only not helpful, but harmful to the subject being dealt with Are most man idiots? Yes they are We live in a complex world: -Complex global systems -Complex big economy …