Isn’t it fascinating? We’re so stubborn and recalcitrant and combative — even when we KNOW we’re wrong And yet, When we actually believe something, and for once for good reason, and for once it’s the RIGHT THING — we’re still too WEAK and PATHETIC to STAND for the truth, to stand for ourselves This …
Tag: Cognitive Bias
The FAKE Prophets
“A broken clock is right twice a day” Perhaps you’ve heard this phrase Have you heard about survivorship bias? Survivorship bias is when you come to a conclusion about the whole — drawing only on limited data which has passed certain selection process, i.e. “survived” Now it’s time to combine the BROKEN CLOCK …
From Same Obvious Principles to Divergent Outcomes; You Don’t Even Know How Wrong You Are
Consider following situation You are playing chess Both of you apply a set of principles, to find the best move Both of you essentially apply the same set of principles, e.g. you read the same books, practiced the same concepts, etc. There’s NO DISAGREEMENT there, But One of you decides that Bxf7+ is the best …
Internet Is Not a Fucking Town Square
Internet is nothing but BUBBLES Echo chambers It’s literally nothing else It’s like 99% bubbles and echo chambers, It’s not “social” It’s not “friendly” It’s definitely not a fucking “town square”, you dumb cunt EVERYTHING on the internet is so constructed so that you become trapped in a bubble That’s how ALL incentives …
Everyone You Know Is An Idiot
Everyone you know is an idiot You just don’t know it yet Everyone you know believes something that, if you knew they believed it — you would have thought they were idiots If not that then Everyone you know, if put in a new situation, with new problem to solve, REAL new …
Emotionality Explains The World Even More Than I Thought
We understand that we are emotional We understand that we get upset, get angry, get sad, get scared — and make subpar decisions under that influence I still think we FAIL to fully appreciate JUST HOW MUCH we are driven by EMOTIONS And just how much the WORLD is driven by emotions And how …
How The FAKE Will Look MORE Legit
It’s not just that the FAKE, the advertised, the scammy — look BETTER than the real thing It will often even look more LEGIT More legit than the real thing Is a Ferrari the most telling indication of material wealth? It’s not a horrible indication. Even renting a Ferrari requires a dollar or two …
COMPARISON as a Useful Model
Comparison, metaphor — is like a model of a thing The purpose of a model is to represent something Model is of course NOT the thing itself It is but it’s representation It omits certain aspects of it — and represents other aspects In having a copy: theoretical or scaled down or whatever — …
Appeal To Moderation
Appeal to moderation is less stupid than it looks For the simple reason that moderation is so fucking hard Appeal to moderation is logical fallacy — in which it is assumed that the truth must surely lie in the middle, between two opposites It’s fallacious in that the truth doesn’t always lie in the …
We Don’t Even Comprehend WHEN We Can’t Comprehend
We don’t know that we don’t know That’s why beginners think they are experts (Dunning-Kruger effect). They DON’T KNOW how much more there is to know — therefore they think they know ALL there is to know — therefore they think they are experts But Dunning-Kruger effect is known, go read about it, …