Everyone you know is an idiot You just don’t know it yet Everyone you know believes something that, if you knew they believed it — you would have thought they were idiots If not that then Everyone you know, if put in a new situation, with new problem to solve, REAL new …
Tag: Cognitive Bias
Emotionality Explains The World Even More Than I Thought
We understand that we are emotional We understand that we get upset, get angry, get sad, get scared — and make subpar decisions under that influence I still think we FAIL to fully appreciate JUST HOW MUCH we are driven by EMOTIONS And just how much the WORLD is driven by emotions And how …
How The FAKE Will Look MORE Legit
It’s not just that the FAKE, the advertised, the scammy — look BETTER than the real thing It will often even look more LEGIT More legit than the real thing Is a Ferrari the most telling indication of material wealth? It’s not a horrible indication. Even renting a Ferrari requires a dollar or two …
COMPARISON as a Useful Model
Comparison, metaphor — is like a model of a thing The purpose of a model is to represent something Model is of course NOT the thing itself It is but it’s representation It omits certain aspects of it — and represents other aspects In having a copy: theoretical or scaled down or whatever — …
Appeal To Moderation
Appeal to moderation is less stupid than it looks For the simple reason that moderation is so fucking hard Appeal to moderation is logical fallacy — in which it is assumed that the truth must surely lie in the middle, between two opposites It’s fallacious in that the truth doesn’t always lie in the …
We Don’t Even Comprehend WHEN We Can’t Comprehend
We don’t know that we don’t know That’s why beginners think they are experts (Dunning-Kruger effect). They DON’T KNOW how much more there is to know — therefore they think they know ALL there is to know — therefore they think they are experts But Dunning-Kruger effect is known, go read about it, …
I Don’t Think I’m Qualified
“I don’t think I’m qualified” are beautiful words The observation of this text is not the rather obvious Dunning-Kruger effect Scio me nihil scire i.e. that the most ignorant are the most ignorant of their own ignorance the most incompetent don’t even know they are incompetent and that the most knowledgeable understand just how …
About The CONSPIRATORIAL
There’s the known And there’s the unknown The known you know to know, typically Sometimes you know without even knowing that you know, you “just know it” The unknown you partly know to not know, and partly don’t even know that you don’t know Now, if you know something, truly know — there’s …
Group Seeks Consensus, Individuals Seek Benefit (Truth)
Person holding one belief is more likely to hold another belief Furthermore person holding one belief is more likely to connect with another person holding the same belief — and then to agree with them on some other belief It’s quite astounding how similar two humans can become The memetic inheritance of beliefs of …
The Problem With “Facts And Logic”
There are facts There are opinions and simplifications and emotions and distortions And there is the unknown Stupidity is human condition Craziness is human condition too Stupidity is but a cognitive failure. It’s a problem of seeing. Intellectual myopia Craziness is but psychological failure. It’s a problem of DISTORTION in what one is seeing. …