Which hand do you brush your teeth with? Try switching to the other hand It’s not so comfortable, is it Now, imagine that the other hand is actually your stronger hand, It ought to perform this task better, But you’re not going to believe it, are you? You trained your other hand to brush your …
Tag: Cognitive Bias
Degrees of Probability (Knowledge), Degrees of Stupidity
That which is wrong has to be proven wrong in but a single way And that which is right — has to NOT be proven wrong…. and hopefully after being subjected to a lot of testing So is there more WRONGS or RIGHTS, in this world? Ultimately, there’s just extremely lot of very improbable, and …
Are we the most IGNORANT ever now?
It’s human condition to be overconfident Also, we know the most ever The total of knowledge is greatest ever Not to mention our access to this knowledge is orders upon orders of magnitude greater Also, average person knows most ever We can read, we can (know how to) use cars and internet, we …
EPISTEMIC LUCK
It’s not merely that some are smarter than others And it’s not merely that some get more lucky than others There’s also the possibility to DO SMART THINGS by chance So some people are born more fit Let’s just say more smart, not merely in theory but in practice That in and of itself …
Stubborn When It’s Cheap, Weak When It Counts
Isn’t it fascinating? We’re so stubborn and recalcitrant and combative — even when we KNOW we’re wrong And yet, When we actually believe something, and for once for good reason, and for once it’s the RIGHT THING — we’re still too WEAK and PATHETIC to STAND for the truth, to stand for ourselves This …
The FAKE Prophets
“A broken clock is right twice a day” Perhaps you’ve heard this phrase Have you heard about survivorship bias? Survivorship bias is when you come to a conclusion about the whole — drawing only on limited data which has passed certain selection process, i.e. “survived” Now it’s time to combine the BROKEN CLOCK …
From Same Obvious Principles to Divergent Outcomes; You Don’t Even Know How Wrong You Are
Consider following situation You are playing chess Both of you apply a set of principles, to find the best move Both of you essentially apply the same set of principles, e.g. you read the same books, practiced the same concepts, etc. There’s NO DISAGREEMENT there, But One of you decides that Bxf7+ is the best …
Internet Is Not a Fucking Town Square
Internet is nothing but BUBBLES Echo chambers It’s literally nothing else It’s like 99% bubbles and echo chambers, It’s not “social” It’s not “friendly” It’s definitely not a fucking “town square”, you dumb cunt EVERYTHING on the internet is so constructed so that you become trapped in a bubble That’s how ALL incentives …
Everyone You Know Is An Idiot
Everyone you know is an idiot You just don’t know it yet Everyone you know believes something that, if you knew they believed it — you would have thought they were idiots If not that then Everyone you know, if put in a new situation, with new problem to solve, REAL new …
Emotionality Explains The World Even More Than I Thought
We understand that we are emotional We understand that we get upset, get angry, get sad, get scared — and make subpar decisions under that influence I still think we FAIL to fully appreciate JUST HOW MUCH we are driven by EMOTIONS And just how much the WORLD is driven by emotions And how …