Good theory is like an edifice Good theory is an edifice Bad theory is a juvenile fantasy It’s mashing lego bricks together It’s doodling a tower with crayons It’s a castle made of sand It’s a house of cards Good theory is a structure that doesn’t collapse How does a theory collapse? …
Tag: Delusion
Why Some Super-Successful Go Conspiratorial
Genius is indeed madness When you’re super brilliant — you risk sometimes being super crazy. That’s the price of trying new, crazy things. But if you pull it off — you’re a genius. Not everyone can be a genius. And likely the genius knew EVERYTHING there was to know — BEFORE he transcended it, pushed …
Patriotism Is an Outdated And Dangerous Meme
Patriotism is but religion And religion is but delusion Useful delusion, mind you If it was completely useless — we would have evolved it away Question is — how useful? Or rather — is it still the most USEFUL mental model to hold, around those matters? It’s probably not, is it Because …
Degrees of Probability (Knowledge), Degrees of Stupidity
That which is wrong has to be proven wrong in but a single way And that which is right — has to NOT be proven wrong…. and hopefully after being subjected to a lot of testing So is there more WRONGS or RIGHTS, in this world? Ultimately, there’s just extremely lot of very improbable, and …
Are we the most IGNORANT ever now?
It’s human condition to be overconfident Also, we know the most ever The total of knowledge is greatest ever Not to mention our access to this knowledge is orders upon orders of magnitude greater Also, average person knows most ever We can read, we can (know how to) use cars and internet, we …
“Beyond Science”
There’s science Then there’s a guess, a conjecture, a possibility, an attempt And then there’s “beyond science” Or so am I told Do you know what’s “beyond science”? That which is UTTERLY unknown for now anyway, but much of it forever, surely The rest is SCIENCE, or SCIENCE-TO-BE If it’s measured, …
The FAKE Prophets
“A broken clock is right twice a day” Perhaps you’ve heard this phrase Have you heard about survivorship bias? Survivorship bias is when you come to a conclusion about the whole — drawing only on limited data which has passed certain selection process, i.e. “survived” Now it’s time to combine the BROKEN CLOCK …
Useful Faith vs Blind, EVIL Faith
-There’s science =knowledge from observations, encapsulated by a testable theory, which has then been tested indeed -There’s reason, rationality = coherence of different concepts. Mathematics, logic, philosophy, etc. -And there’s FAITH = ASSUMPTION of something, WITHOUT either scientific proof, or even validation of logical clarity Is there room for faith? Well we can’t always …
West Hating West Is Like Vegans Hating Plant Food
(By WEST — we mean Western values, enlightenment values, liberal democracy) West hating West is like VEGANS hating plant food Imagine a vegan only eating in restaurants, and only eating in vegan restaurants Except he HATES the vegan restaurants in this town He thinks the plants there are TOO sentient He thinks they …
How You’re Brainwashed Into False Scepticism
Want the easiest trick in the fucking book? Tell someone that ONLY YOU KNOW THE TRUTH, and EVERYONE ELSE IS WRONG, or LYING, Then tell them “THE TRUTH” ! ta-da look I wrote about the psychology behind it: “The Opposite Of Wrong Is Not True “ “What Really Happens When You Reject The Authority” …